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From economic woes to commodity prices, climate change to national security, the list of prominent themes that permeated our lives in 2008 and into 2009 speaks of daunting challenges. In each case, energy innovation is central to our path forward. With the announcement of billions of dollars to be funneled by the stimulus plan into improving our electric grid, efficiency and sustainability are now top of mind in Washington, D.C., and on Main Street. Expectations are surging for a clean energy future that centers on the deployment of a Smart Grid that will enable revolutionary changes to the way we generate, deliver, and consume electricity.
But the Smart Grid and its exciting possibilities won't simply come to life when advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) is deployed -- meters with two-way communication aren't inherently smart or intelligent, they only have the potential to be. The grid becomes smart when the technological capabilities of AMI are leveraged to create applications. Consider the value of the Internet: it is much more than a networked infrastructure of computers, servers, and cables -- it's Google's search technology, Amazon's ability to make pinpoint product recommendations, and eBay's auction platform. Similarly, the Smart Grid is more than meters and wires; it's outage detection, load management, dynamic pricing, and vehicle-to-grid interaction. As EPRI defines it, the smart grid is "a system that optimizes power supply and delivery, minimizes losses, is self-healing, and enables next-generation energy efficiency and demand response applications."
Why Smart Grid?
While important, automated meter reading and outage detection are not the main reasons we need to create the Smart Grid. A clean energy future means new paradigms across the entire value chain. Just as our energy sources must be cleaner and our devices more efficient, our overall system must be made more interactive and responsive, as it will facilitate the integration of renewable energy, flatten the load duration curve, and reduce consumption.
S
o, where do we stand on the delivery of a Smart Grid that revolutionizes the energy landscape? According to FERC's 2008 Assessment of Demand Response and Advanced Metering, there are 6.7 million advanced meters deployed today. While this is an impressive number, it represents only 5 percent of the total population of electricity meters(1). However, FERC reports that planned advanced meter deployments by utilities are expected to total 52 million over the next five to seven years(2). As AMI momentum builds, it is incumbent upon us to make the best use of our existing transmission and distribution systems while preparing for such massive AMI rollouts.
Next-Generation Demand Response -- The First "Killer" Smart Grid Application
Because advanced metering is not yet ubiquitous, much of the nation's 41 GW(3), according to FERC estimates, of demand response capacity today relies on low-tech methods like phone calls to interruptible customers and residential direct load control (DLC) lacking real-time visibility. However, by utilizing both advanced meters and software to monitor and control end-user sites, some demand response providers have created the first "killer" Smart Grid application: next-generation C&I demand response.
Metering and control equipment alone do not constitute a demand response application, or put another way, the Smart Grid doesn't end at the meter. Software and some good old-fashioned human expertise are essential to fully leveraging the infrastructure investment. While in the not-too-distant future residential demand response may be "plug and play," with ZigBee-enabled appliances that communicate directly with the utility meter, the same is not likely to be the case with other customers' classes. C&I customers have varied loads and specialized equipment -- consumer refrigerators may soon come equipped to receive signals from your home' electric meter, but will plastic extrusion machines or the chilling systems of ice rinks? Expertise is required to identify curtailment opportunities, not to mention achieve them. If a meter cannot be successfully attached to loads, its communication or even control functionality provides little or no benefit.
Without experts adept at identifying curtailment opportunities that do not negatively impact business operations and a robust software platform capable of collecting and visualizing consumption data in near real-time, load reductions from a majority of C&I sources could never be delivered as a resource utilities can rely on. While residential customers can usually participate directly in a utility's DLC program, many C&I DR participants monetize their demand reductions through a third-party provider-installed smart meters are not large or sophisticated enough to go it alone. Furthermore, C&I DR requires detailed measurement and verification (M&V), which requires advanced software capturing the near-real time data that third party provider installed smart-meters are capable of measuring, creating customer baselines, and ultimately measuring performance. An ability to verify load reductions has been critical to C&I demand response growth, first in deregulated areas and now increasingly with regulated utilities.
Therefore it is the combination of infrastructure, expertise, and powerful software that together create an application that provides real value.
Beyond Demand Response
Not only does demand response deliver actual benefits in the way our grid distributes and consumes electricity, it is also driving Smart Grid innovation. Many third-party demand response providers have developed "dashboards" or web portals that allow end-users to see their consumption in near real-time, as well as to compare electricity usage over time and between sites. The development of dashboard technology was a simple step in the evolution of successful demand response programs -- providers, utilities and end-use participants all needed an intuitive manner in which to observe demand on a site-by-site level over periods of time. Soon, advanced dashboard technology became a competitive differentiator, and ultimately, a Smart Grid application of its own.
Today, the capabilities of software have moved beyond dashboards to drive a concept known as 'continuous or monitoring-based commissioning' (MBCx) in the energy efficiency space. Armed with access to energy information thanks to advanced meters and sensors, software can monitor facility energy consumption to optimize efficiency in order to maintain the efficiency gains delivered through one-time or periodic improvements such as retro-commissioning, equipment upgrades, or the installation of updated building management systems. By constantly monitoring the consumption patterns of various pieces of equipment, monitoring-based commissioning easily and automatically ensures that equipment is always configured to operate in the most energy efficient manner, eliminating what used to be a time-consuming and tedious process for facility managers. The results are significant -- among our own MBCx customers, we find overall energy savings of eight percent to 15 percent.
Mesh networks, smart devices and appliances, and countless other technology advancements will expand the ability of monitoring-based commissioning software to drive energy efficiency. And in turn, we can only wonder about the next incremental innovation that monitoring-based commissioning will drive in continuing our push toward a ubiquitous Smart Grid.
Looking Towards the Future
Many of the exciting applications that the Smart Grid will unleash challenge existing paradigms -- one where utilities have financial incentives to build power plants rather than avoid them, and to sell power rather than save it. Will third parties, the drivers of Smart Grid innovation, be placed on an even playing field with utilities when it comes to regulatory matters involving access to information and financial incentives?
From an open-access and standards point of view, who will own customer energy data? Should the consumer, and not the utility, own their individual electricity data in the same way they own their cell phone number? Many believe that for the Smart Grid to truly thrive, meter data should be accessible to any party that a consumer authorizes, via a suite of Internet-like open standards that include a common data format, and standard software and hardware interfaces. This would enable a free market for Smart Grid applications and services that give users visibility into, and control over, their energy usage.
Smart Grid innovation will also call into question the financial incentives that drive the electric power industry today. The Smart Grid will struggle to realize its potential so long as utility profits are threatened by efficiency measures. Decoupling, the concept of removing the connection between utility compensation and the actual power they sell, is a complex issue central to the future of Smart Grid development. So, too, is the concept of equal treatment -- where capital invested in a combustion turbine for peaking supply receives one set of regulated returns, while that same capital invested in a demand response program, delivering the same peaking resource, most commonly earns a lower return, if any return at all.
We will achieve the clean-energy future that exists on the horizon, featuring distributed renewable generation, dynamic pricing and vehicle-to-grid, among other exciting technologies. But to get there, we must also focus on the steps of today, the incremental innovations that maximize current infrastructure while driving technological development. And as we leverage demand response, continuous commissioning, and countless other Smart Grid applications, we must also consider the paradigms they challenge and the policy solutions they require.
Notes
1. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, "Assessment of Demand Response and Advanced Metering", December 2008, p. 7.
2. Ibid, p. 15.
3. Ibid, p. 23.
For information on purchasing reprints of this article, contact Tim Tobeck ttobeck@energycentral.com. Copyright 2010 CyberTech, Inc.
Very enlightening and exciting article. As a resident of Ontario near the City of Hamilton, I couldn't help but notice your company EnerNOC is the party contracted by our Ontario Power Authority (OPA) to run its demand response programs for industrial, commercial, and businesses looking to participate. Congratulations as I understand the OPA is very happy with your work and its technology, and the significant uptake of businesses participating in our province. As you say, Ontario has a total power demand capacity of around 27 Gigawatts, comparable to New England's.
I have a keen interest in the future of real-time in-home technologies to help residential consumers adopt demand responses to promote conservation, lower energy bills, and better manage energy uses. However the AMI systems' smart meters being deployed in Ontario are being orphaned because they are not generally being equipped with communications options for customer interactions, like the Zigbee radios for example. Although AMI providers can and do make available radio technologies for in-home equipment to talk directly to an AMI network instead of directly to their meters, I fear most utility companies will not permit this because the AMI networks are not designed with the capacities to handle substantial numbers of in-home devices communicating with them, simultaneously or even randomly in large numbers. Worse, the capacities of the AMI networks will quickly be used up if, as many in the industry predict, these networks will form the backbone for upcoming Smart Grid applications of grid infrastructure asset monitoring, control, and outage management.
Furthermore, who will fund DR programs on a wide scale with consumers? Presently our OPA runs a residential DR program with communicating thermostats (through the old radio pager system) funded entirely by the government paying utility companies to procure, install, and control the thermostats. Can we really expect governments to fund mass expansions of such DR programs to other in-home devices built around Smart Grid?
Any comments on this would be appreciated.
Bob Amorosi, M.Eng. Electronics Design Engineer
Jose Antonio Vanderhorst-Silverio 3.11.09
Hi Tim,
Your paragraph “Many of the exciting applications that the Smart Grid will unleash challenge existing paradigms -- one where utilities have financial incentives to build power plants rather than avoid them, and to sell power rather than save it. Will third parties, the drivers of Smart Grid innovation, be placed on an even playing field with utilities when it comes to regulatory matters involving access to information and financial incentives?” is begging for that existence of a market architecture and design paradigm to enable a reform of electric power markets. The answer can be found in the article EWPC as a Timely Basic Innovation.
Jose Antonio Vanderhorst-Silverio 3.11.09
" that existence" >> " the existence"
Juanita Springer 3.17.09
We have a solution that is the last link from the smart grid into the home for the utility and DRM applications. Our technology is an in-wall, touch panel that communicates with EITHER Smart Meters or traditional power meters, and provides usage reporting as well as actual controls for thermostats, lighting systems, and more. It operates over Zigbee wireless protocol and requires only one Cat5 cable for installation (it's power over Ethernet). And, it's under $500 to the consumer... see us at www.breezeplay.com
Jack Ellis 3.17.09
I spent some time working for one of EnerNoc's competitors so I'm familiar with Tim's company and the small community of third party demand response providers. I've also had 30 years to observe how attempts to deal with the characteristically "peaky" load duration curve have evolved from load management to demand side management to demand response with little real impact. It is from that perspective that I offer a couple of observations:
First, the only reason the notion of demand response exists at all is because we treat electricity differently from other goods and services. When was the last time you heard about a demand response program for gasoline or food or any of life's other necessities. Even when the price of gasoline was soaring because demand was outstripping supply, no one talked about limiting demand, and no one even considered paying motorists not to drive.
Second, the idea that we should pay customers for using less of a good they don't take title to ahead of time to strikes me as a little silly, unless of course one assumes there is an implied entitlement to as much electricity as we can use. A corollary point here is that we can only estimate how much less a consumer uses, which means we're paying for something that cannot be measured directly or terribly accurately. If an estimated load in the absence of any curtailment is accurate to within plus or minus 4 percent and the estimated load reduction amounts to 25% of measured load, then the estimate is in error by as much as 16%. Gaming is also a challenge. One of the most difficult problems faced by regulators and grid operators is how to structure demand response program rules so that customers are only compensated for real performance without also penalizing them when they do perform.
In fact, demand response, especially in the service areas of utilities that are part of an organized market, should really be price response, and it is something we should expect customers to do in the same way they make decisions and tradeoffs regarding the other goods and services they buy. Customers should by default be required to pay the prevailing wholesale price unless they sign up for a fixed-price or other alternative, and preferably one that includes a fixed volume commitment.
At that point firms like EnerNoc can provide enormous value by helping customers identify opportunities to install capital equipment, modify business processes and manage operations around wholesale prices, no matter what kind of supply contract they have, in ways that appropriately balance the benefits of reduced energy consumption against the costs of achieving those reductions. Customers who do respond would benefit by paying less overall for electricity than they otherwise might rather than being paid to do things they should be doing in the first place. Customers who don't or won't or can't will be a little better off because existing demand response subsidies will disappear.
The current "pay for performance" programs also have some perverse incentives built into them. For example, customers with existing thermal storage systems have a difficult choice to make between operating the storage based on time differentiated or dynamic tariffs, and operating storage only in the limited number of instances where the utility calls for response on a hot day or in some other emergency circumstance.
Finally, I think most of the "smarts" in any smart grid scheme needs to be at the periphery of the grid and not in the grid itself. Smarts should start with consumers - Grid Smart consumers - who can choose from a wide variety of products and services to help them more effectively manage their energy use and their energy bills. With the right legal and regulatory framework and properly designed rates, EnerNoc and similar firms will find lots of receptive customers asking for help.
Bob Amorosi 3.18.09
Jack,
Your last comment paragraph is priceless. Research has revealed in study after study that consumers are interested to the point of paying something for help in better tracking and managing their energy bills.
Electricity has always been a bargain as compared to other forms of energy like gasoline, so it is understandable few value much the concept of paying someone to use less as in demand response programs for electricity, let alone gasoline. However when gasoline prices spike, demand responses really do happen – some people change their habits by driving less. But what would happen if severe shortages developed for gasoline along with price spikes? I'll bet there are some policymakers who shudder at being given the task on how to manage such a crisis, as in what tools the government might use. In electricity, shortages in capacity to meet peak demand in some places, and large increases in rates are both looming large.
The problem in the utility industry is no one trusts consumer changes in behaviour can keep the grid operating reliably, so the utility industry demands control over any consumer demand responses. And of course the industrial and commercial customers have the biggest return, so that's why residential consumers are typically last on their priority list.
Jack Ellis 3.18.09
After thinking about my comment overnight,perhaps a few clarifications are in order.
It wasn't my intention to disparage EnerNoc's business model. Instead, I wanted to point out that its fundamental basis - paying customers to respond - is likely to disappear in the next few years. This is becoming very clear in California where the California ISO is attempting to bring all DR programs under its wing and require customers to make offers for demand reduction that are comparable to supply offers from generators. Even this change is probably a transition step.
The whole Smart Grid initiative needs more focus and its proponents need to set realistic expectations. Right now Smart Grid is everything to everyone. Smart Grid should be about needed improvements in the high voltage and distribution networks upstream of the customer meter to the extent costs will be socialized in bundled rates. Everything else should be placed in a separate initiative with the expectation that it will have to be sold individually to customers instead of allowing utilities to install equipment where customers agree to allow it and then socialize the costs.
I agree with Bob that energy is relatively cheap as a fraction of household income, household expenditures, or any other reasonable metric. It makes no sense to promote conservation and energy efficiency on the one hand, and keep energy prices unrealistically low on the other. I think current policy has as much to do with limiting supplier earnings as it does keeping rates low for political benefit. Eventually that contradiction has to be resolved.
As for the virtues of the much-touted Vehicle to Grid concept, watch this space. For other than relatively small amounts of energy, it is not practical and at some point I'd like to explain why.
Dick Maclay 3.19.09
Jack's comments are very much on the mark. In a cost of service regulatory environment utilities make money by maximizing inefficient use of generation and T&D assets. Complicated programs to undo this basic incentive system can not be very effective. Among other things the true variation in the cost of providing power at different times is not recognized. I did a lot of work on this when I worked for a major utility and people there were amazed at the results. But each department noted that their area was correctly portrayed. Bottom line is that system peaks cost two + order of magnitudes more to serve than the wee hours of the night. If customers saw this information in their bills then the peak would begin declining pretty quickly. But utilities and regulators do not want to deal with the true differences in cost. The challenge is finding the new paradigm where this information can get out in a substantial way.
Len Gould 3.20.09
Dick has it exactly, esp. last few sentences. We need to be moving toward real-time pricing at true market value on very short intervals, and get rid of all these pointless and wasteful "demand response" nonsense.
Len Gould 3.20.09
Also Jack. Good points.
Jack Ellis 3.20.09
A policy that requires generators to bid their marginal running cost against an inelastic demand curve seems to be pretty useless when the prices most customers see bear little or no relationship at all to those marginal running costs or to a realistic market price. Of course, I might be all wet since I'm an engineer rather than an economist, but I think not.
I've been asked by the California ISO to participate in a survey they're conducting to comply with the part of FERC Order 719 that requires them to identify "barriers" to DR. There are 40 questions and I'm preparing a lengthy, brutally honest written response even though this is supposed to be a phone interview.
This mess will eventually get sorted out, but probably not until my next lifetime.
Tim Healy 3.31.09
Thanks to all for the thoughtful and insightful comments. I certainly believe this is an interesting and exciting topic. Here are a few thoughts that pertain to a number of the questions and issues raised by many of you.
As I mentioned in the article, we firmly believe that getting interoperability and incentives correct is critical as we move ahead with smart grid development. While the combination of these will mitigate the issue of ‘orphaned’ meters (interoperability speaks for itself and the right incentives will motivate utilities to maximize efficiency), it is also important to note that communications between the meter and appliances alone aren’t the answer across all customer classes. While a smart meter connected to a smart dishwasher will deliver load control in the home, more advanced business processes in the C&I space will always require an expert understanding of specific practices and equipment.
If and when the smart grid exposes demand to the underlying wholesales prices of electricity, we will see gains from efficiency beneficial to all constituencies. But, there are a couple of important distinctions I’d like to make that are pertinent to some of the comments on this thread.
First, it was pointed out that we treat electricity differently than other goods such as gas and food. I absolutely agree, we do, but I think the unavoidable challenge when it comes to electricity is storage - today we can’t store electricity the way we can store gas or food. And while storage costs are falling, it remains to be seen if we’ll ever have storage capacity sufficient to prevent supply / demand imbalances. Additionally, from a system planning standpoint, we believe that regardless of dynamic pricing, peaking resources will continue to provide value. Price responsiveness is voluntary in nature, and therefore shouldn’t be counted on like a mandatory, capacity-based resource. On the other hand, aggregated, dispatchable C&I DR programs where 3rd parties takes responsibility for delivery act as a last line of defense in the face of emergency conditions for RTOs and IOUs across the country today.
Second, while opening retail customers up to the fluctuations in wholesale price will deliver significant efficiency benefits, it is important to note that wholesale markets themselves lack true dynamic and unrestricted pricing. In fact, due to price caps in wholesale markets, capacity payments are used to incentivize investment in supply resources in order to ensure capacity availability at times of peak demand. So even in a system where retail prices are allowed to fluctuate in response to wholesale prices, capacity resources will continue to play a role.
Interestingly, we don’t look at the California ISO transition as the elimination of DR. Instead, we believe that with rigorous measurement and verification practices, two-way communication, and the proper alignment of interests, demand response delivers a reliable resource that can and should participate in RTO and IOU territories in a manner much the same as peaking supply. ISO New England’s Forward Capacity Market is an example - just because demand response is integrated into a supply market does not mean it disappears. In fact, demand response capacity is counted on by the ISO to deliver firm capacity in the face of system reliability issues, the same way peaking supply is.
I appreciate the commentary and feedback. There are a number of interesting points on this thread and I look forward to working through these and other challenges as we push forward with development of the smart grid.